Tonight I will play a big card. I’ve been doing well picking 1 to 3 dog plays a game…it has put us up +700 units last 6 days. The Top HCs are really making the most going against pitchers that are favored and only Tier 2 below rated. Arrieta is still Tier 1 so doesn’t fit that category. This line has bounced fro -190 to -160 but now seems to have settled at the opening line. i know Arrietta has looked vulnerable his last two starts but he is going against Liriano who has an inflated 1.6 WHip due to his lack of control. This formula doesn’t work well versus the team that walks more then any team in the majors. Let’s take run here -1.5 -110 Cubs
We will go with Bumgarner and the Over here. Bums numbers are just too impressive not to play a small wager at the window on the RL. He is 12-3 L15 Starts and 37-18 versus right hand pitchers. SP Bradley has been awful. He has not won a game since May 29th….I see this game also soaring over the total of 7 as the Dbacks have gone over on an 80% clip last 15 games. Gianta _1.5 -110 and Over 7 -120
